Air University Review, September-October 1968
Ever since Engels began to fancy himself as a
military theorist a century ago, Marxists have tried to convert the art of
preparing for and fighting wars into a science with all the exactitude of
physics or chemistry. If all the books and articles on military doctrine
produced by Soviet theorists since
Professor Kintner and Mrs. Scott have now produced a work* which gives those who do not read Russian a chance to see how Soviet military theorists approach the problems of contemporary warfare. The book consists of 27 articles, most of which were published between late 1964 and early 1967. Some are from collections of articles published in book form in the Soviet Union, but most of them are from the military journals, especially the Communist of the Armed Forces (Kommunist vooruzhennykh sil), which (as is stated right above the table of contents in each issue) is the “military-political journal of the Main Political Administration of the Soviet Army and Navy” and thus, it would seem safe to say, is closely controlled by General of the Army A. A. Yepishev, top man in the Main Political Administration. The book is divided into five major sections, each comprised of a number of pertinent articles. The editor-translators explain the significance of each major segment and also preface each article with an explanatory introduction. The translations are well done, and Mrs. Scott is not to be blamed for the heavy, dull, pedantic style that is the hallmark of Soviet military theorists. There is also a Glossary at the end of the book, as well as an Appendix, in which the top Soviet military leaders are listed. All in all, it is a competent piece of work.
There are several main themes that run through most of the articles. The first is the constantly reiterated assertion that the Soviet Strategic Rocket Forces are now the elite element of the armed forces. This, of course, has to be so, since there is near unanimity among the Soviet writers that World War III, “if it is unleashed by the imperialists,” will be a nuclear war. Nevertheless, each author, after describing the decisive role of the Strategic Rocket Forces, hastens to add that victory can only be achieved by the combined forces of all the services of the armed forces. The “why” of the necessity for all the services to get into the act in a nuclear exchange is never spelled out. Finally, all the writers agree upon the infallibility of Soviet military doctrine.
Before rushing out to buy the book, the potential reader should be warned
that Soviet military writings, especially those dealing with doctrine and
strategy, are ponderous, repetitious, and crammed with hoary clichés. Soviet
military theorists, in Manichaean style, divide the world into absolute good
and absolute evil: all virtue and wisdom belong to the socialist
camp, especially to the
In the course of examining the Soviet military literature for the 1960-64 period, the reviewer was struck more by what the Soviet military theorists did not say than with what they did discuss.1 Nothing seems to have changed in the last three years, judging from what Mrs. Scott’s stable of authors manages not to say. They just skip the tough problems, or skirt them in a gingerly manner. The following are just a few of the evaded issues: Whether World War III will be a short, spasmodic nuclear exchange or a protracted conflict? Just what is the Soviet doctrine on limited war? How do “wars of national liberation” fit into their doctrine? What is their strategy, or lack of it, in the military use of outer space? Do they mean a pre-emptive attack when they refer to “the frustration of a surprise nuclear attack”? These are important contemporary problems and the Soviet military theorists must think about them, but there are no concrete discussions of them in the open literature.
A good example is the continuous refrain that the Soviet Armed Forces can and will “frustrate” a surprise nuclear attack. For instance, Colonel Strokov, on page 223, states that
Soviet military doctrine considers the frustration of a surprise attack of the enemy and carrying to him a crushing blow as the main immediate task of the Armed Forces.
He then goes on to quote Marshal Malinovsky as follows:
The main common mission for all of our Armed Forces, in the course of combat and operational training, is set by us as the studying and working out of ways for the sure repulse of a surprise nuclear attack of an aggressor and also of ways to frustrate his aggressive plans by way of a well-timed carrying out of a crushing blow on him.
Both Strokov and Malinovsky must mean either that the nuclear attack will be pre-empted or that the Soviets have an impenetrable antiballistic missile (ABM) defense. But at no time does any Soviet writer spell out in concrete terms what he means. Incidentally, as early as 1955 the Soviets were preaching about their ability to frustrate a surprise nuclear attack; it was already an article of faith, and they certainly did not have an ABM defense then.2 This constant chant about the Soviet capability to thwart a nuclear surprise attack is probably a morale builder.
Closely associated with the “frustration of a nuclear attack” thesis is
another article of faith, the assumption that the
However, to maintain that victory in nuclear war is in general impossible would be not only untrue theoretically but dangerous from a political point of view. (Italics mine.)
In their introductory comments to the various articles, Kintner
and Scott assert repeatedly the thesis that the Soviets have opted for nuclear
war and they are relentlessly driving toward a superiority
in both offensive and defensive nuclear missile systems. It would be hard to
dispute the fact that the Soviets have increased the tempo of their production
of ICBM’s. According to the figures given by former Secretary McNamara in
February 1968, the Soviets had increased their arsenal of ICBM’s to 720 by 1
October 1967, almost doubling their capability in that area in a year. The
former secretary, however, seemed much less worried about the Soviet
capabilities in the ABM field. At the present time, it would seem, the Soviets still have some distance to go before they get
to parity, let alone superiority, in the number of nuclear warheads that can be
delivered by each side. But even parity might well present problems for the
It would seem to this reviewer that any attempt to predict Soviet intentions from Soviet military literature is a dubious proposition. For example, during the 1945-54 decade, Soviet military theorists wrote only about Stalin’s five “permanently operating factors for victory,” which called for huge ground forces loaded with artillery and tanks, while at the same time denying the possibility that nuclear weapons plus a surprise attack could influence the course and outcome of a war. Yet it was precisely during that period that they were developing atomic and nuclear weapons, long-range bombers, and doing research on missiles. The doctrine espoused in the open literature had no connection with the weapons development going on at the time. Actually, the doctrine denied the efficacy of the very weapons that the Soviets were developing at such great cost to their economy.
Today, as the articles selected by Kintner and
Scott illustrate, the military doctrine indicates that a nuclear war is the
only type of war the Soviets have under consideration. But the present
composition of their armed forces could indicate otherwise. The Soviet Navy is
rapidly becoming a major element in the overall military capability of the
nation. It now has a large surface fleet as well as a huge submarine force, and
it is now busy playing a role in the
If an analysis of Soviet intentions were to be made on the basis of the new
developments in the direction of a flexible capability in military operations
and on the basis of what seems to be Russian foreign policy objectives in the
last few years, the conclusion might well be that the Soviets intend their
nuclear missile buildup to act as an umbrella over their penetration of the
Middle East and their intention to play an active military role on a global
basis in support of “wars of national liberation.” In short, when dealing with
the theoretical writings of Soviet military men, as much consideration should
be given to what they refuse to talk about as to those things they do discuss ad
nauseam. What bothers this reviewer about the editorializing of Kintner and Scott is their as sumption
that the present Soviet doctrine on nuclear war necessarily represents the real
Soviet military intentions. They might well have taken the editing job done by Dinerstein, Gouné, and Wolfe in
the
Aerospace Studies Institute
*The Nuclear Revolution in Soviet Military Affairs, translated and edited, with Introduction and Commentary, by William R. Kintner and Harriet Fast Scott (Norman, Oklahoma: University of Oklahoma Press, 1968, $6.95), 420 pp.
Note
1. Kenneth R. Whiting, Soviet Reactions to Changes in American Military Strategy (Maxwell AFB: Air University, 1965).
2. Ibid., p. 30.
Dr. Kenneth R. Whiting (Ph.D.,
Disclaimer
The conclusions and opinions expressed in this document
are those of the author cultivated in the freedom of expression, academic
environment of
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